Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000517 0.000599 0.000687 0.000787 0.000898 0.001017 0.001154
2025-07-06 0.000380 0.000490 0.000616 0.000770 0.000953 0.001161 0.001413
2025-07-13 0.000324 0.000448 0.000597 0.000789 0.001024 0.001302 0.001649
2025-07-20 0.000279 0.000411 0.000578 0.000801 0.001084 0.001428 0.001870
2025-07-27 0.000236 0.000370 0.000547 0.000792 0.001113 0.001512 0.002037
2025-08-03 0.000200 0.000333 0.000516 0.000777 0.001129 0.001579 0.002183
2025-08-10 0.000177 0.000312 0.000504 0.000786 0.001176 0.001683 0.002377
2025-08-17 0.000156 0.000290 0.000488 0.000787 0.001210 0.001771 0.002550
2025-08-24 0.000131 0.000259 0.000456 0.000761 0.001205 0.001804 0.002650
2025-08-31 0.000111 0.000232 0.000426 0.000737 0.001199 0.001835 0.002748
2025-09-07 0.000098 0.000216 0.000412 0.000734 0.001223 0.001906 0.002899
2025-09-14 0.000086 0.000202 0.000399 0.000733 0.001247 0.001977 0.003051
2025-09-21 0.000075 0.000185 0.000382 0.000723 0.001259 0.002033 0.003186
2025-09-28 0.000064 0.000169 0.000363 0.000708 0.001263 0.002076 0.003302
2025-10-05 0.000059 0.000164 0.000363 0.000725 0.001316 0.002191 0.003523
2025-10-12 0.000054 0.000157 0.000360 0.000736 0.001360 0.002293 0.003728
2025-10-19 0.000047 0.000146 0.000346 0.000728 0.001372 0.002348 0.003865
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000133 0.000330 0.000714 0.001373 0.002387 0.003979
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000128 0.000327 0.000722 0.001412 0.002483 0.004177
2025-11-09 0.000032 0.000121 0.000320 0.000723 0.001438 0.002559 0.004348
2025-11-16 0.000027 0.000108 0.000300 0.000699 0.001420 0.002567 0.004416
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000097 0.000281 0.000677 0.001403 0.002575 0.004485
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000091 0.000274 0.000674 0.001421 0.002638 0.004636